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Harris’s standing in the California gubernatorial race
In the lead-up to the June 2026 gubernatorial primary election, former Vice President Kamala Harris is emerging as a significant contender in California politics. Recent polling data from Emerson College Polling indicates that Harris currently holds the support of 31% of likely voters.
However, this figure is accompanied by a notable divide among the electorate, with 50% expressing that they do not believe she should enter the race. This split sentiment raises questions about her viability as a candidate and the potential impact on the Democratic primary landscape.
Competitors in the race
While Harris leads the pack, her closest competitors are far behind. Former Representative Katie Porter has managed to secure only 8% of voter support, while Republican Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco trails with 4%. Newcomer Xavier Becerra, who previously served as Health and Human Services Secretary, has garnered a mere 2%.
A significant portion of the electorate, 39%, remains undecided, indicating that the race is still very much in flux. The dynamics of the race could shift dramatically depending on whether Harris decides to run, as her presence could either consolidate support among Democrats or deter other candidates from entering.
Voter sentiment and future implications
The mixed reactions to Harris’s potential candidacy reflect broader sentiments about her political future following her unsuccessful bid for the presidency in 2024. At 60 years old, Harris is reportedly keeping her options open and is expected to make a decision by the end of summer.
The implications of her decision extend beyond her own political career; they could significantly influence the trajectories of other candidates, particularly Porter, whose support among Democrats could rise to 21% if Harris opts out. This scenario illustrates the interconnected nature of political campaigns, where one candidate’s decision can reshape the entire field.
Governor Gavin Newsom’s future
As the current governor, Gavin Newsom’s impending exit from the political stage also plays a crucial role in shaping the gubernatorial race. While some voters believe he should consider a presidential run in 2028, a majority—59%—think he should not. This sentiment suggests that voters may prefer a fresh face in leadership rather than a continuation of established political figures. The upcoming election will not only determine Harris’s political fate but also set the tone for California’s future leadership.
